18 Jan 2026 13:06:18
Will 40 points be enough?
3 wins, 6 draws with 7 defeats gets us the 40 points.
4 wins and 3 draws and 9 defeats the same.
Surely to god that’s doable?
West Ham to get to 41 points considering current goal difference would need 6 wins and 6 draws from last 16 games.
Or 7 wins and 3 draws.
I can see DF continuing the defensive lineup to achieve this. Keep racking up the points with draws and the odd win here n there.
Our survival is well n truly in our hands.
18 Jan 2026 13:55:11
CORKEY I think you’re not that far off, I have it 5 wins 4 draws 7 losses. Let’s hope we can turn some of the losses to draws, and hope it will be enough.
18 Jan 2026 14:05:19
Think 39 be enough corkes. What we need for that mate?
18 Jan 2026 14:08:00
CORKEY
I think NF will pull pick up points so may look something like this?
Leeds on 44
West sham 32
Burnley 29
WW 22.
18 Jan 2026 16:18:26
36 has been enough for almost the last decade.
The point a game marker should be good enough although we are Leeds so we can get 40 and still go down.
Don't worry about the number, just keep winning and all will be well, a win on Monday will drag another team into the mix!
18 Jan 2026 17:00:35
In the last 30 years since the Premier League went to 20 teams the average points needed to stay up has fallen in every 10 year period: 37.3 to 35.9 to 33.0. This is a reflection on the difference between the standard of teams in the Premiership and the three who are promoted from the Championship. They find it extremely difficult to compete with the "established" teams, particularly in the last two years when 27 and 26 points would have meant survival.
This year Sunderland and United have bucked that trend so points needed will be higher. Excluding the last two years the ten year average is 34.7 and apart from one year,15/ 16 when 38 points was needed, 36 points secured survival in every year.
We should be able to smash that. I'd be disappointed if we didn't.
18 Jan 2026 17:16:39
Wolves will struggle to get past 30, Burnley mebbe low 30s, Sham and Florists I see getting 36 or 37. So for us 40 could be more than enough. Looking at our remaining fixtures I see at least 5 winnable games, which even if we lost all the rest could take us to 40.
Also don't forget Florists still have the added distraction of the Europa league, so they might stumble along the way. Our last game of the season is Sham at ER on May 24 that one will be a real knicker gripper if we don't have survival guaranteed by then.
18 Jan 2026 17:30:06
And don't discount Bournemouth, Spuds and Palace getting dragged into thd dogfight either. Bournemouth have just lost their best player (Semenyo) , Spuds are just a mess and now that Guehi has gone and Glasner has had a rant at Palace owners, and they still have the Eufa Conference league to negotiate who knows how they will react.
18 Jan 2026 19:12:33
Anyone could be dragged in to it the way things are going this season with everyone dropping points and it’s still very close at mid down but saying that I believe there is only one place free at the bottom can’t not see the bottom two moving up.
19 Jan 2026 13:08:47
40 should be enough.